Tale of Two Invests: 96L and 97L

I apologize for not updating this blog during Hurricanes Jova and Irwin along with two possible developments in the Atlantic. School work has been the main priority here lately.

Today there is an invest in the Southwestern Caribbean that is trying to get it's act together. Invest 96L doesn't have any signs of a surface circulation at the moment, but surface pressures are falling in the area. This system is also currently drifting to the south, but a more northerly motion is expected soon. Forecaster Avila had strong wording in his 2pm Tropical Weather Outlook stating that there is a 'likelihood that a tropical depression could form over the weekend'. The NHC is giving this system a 60% chance of developing in the next 48 hours. Eventually, this system might affect Florida and Cuba in about a week or so. This system will closely be monitored for any type of sudden development.

A pop up area of broad low pressure to the east of South America is trying to get its act together this afternoon. The NHC has named this Invest 97L. Forecaster Avila has 'up-ed' the chances of development to a 20% chance of development. Models aren't it very good agreement, but a slow movement to the north-northwest is likely over the next couple days with a gradual turn to the west-northwest and eventually the west. This system has little time to develop before it starts to feel the affects of the outflow from a possible tropical cyclone: Invest 96L.

The next two names on the list are Rina and Sean.

Matt