Tropical News

Alenga and Tropical Cyclone 02S pose no threat to land, yet the remnants of Alenga may bring some rough surf to the western coast of Australia.

Thursday, November 10, 2011

Sean has peaked

Our only area of interest in the tropics today is Tropical Storm Sean. Sean has reached his peak as a 65mph tropical storm and should not be able to strengthen to a hurricane due to cooler waters. Bermuda is still under a Tropical Storm Warning due to Sean's wind field being extremely large. The forecast shows that Sean will become extratropical sometime in the next day or two.

Figure 1: Rainbow IR picture of Sean.

Figure 2: Projected Path of Sean

Some of the computer models are showing development in two different places. The GFS (American) Model has been off and on with subtropical development in the mid-Atlantic in about a week or so. Other models, like the NOGAPS and CMC, are forecasting development in the Southwestern Caribbean. These are typical hotspots for November, so I wouldn't completely write off the 2011 Atlantic Hurricane Season just yet.

The Eastern, Central, Western, and Southern Pacific Basins are quiet.

The North and Southwest Indian Ocean basins are quiet.

The Australian Region is quiet as well.

A short post for a boring day!
Matt

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